manton
manton

John Gruber blogging about the Perplexity stunt to buy Chrome:

I think what’s happening is that the LLM chatbot field is maturing (exemplified by OpenAI’s launch of ChatGPT 5 last week), and Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas is getting increasingly desperate.

Unless Apple does somehow acquire Perplexity, I doubt Perplexity is going to succeed in the long run. Some people think the AI bubble will pop, bringing down all of these companies. But OpenAI and Anthropic are here to stay. The thing about bubbles… Webvan didn’t make it out of the dot-com bubble, but we all order groceries online now.

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kev
kev

@manton to be fair, John makes some good points about Chrome being pointless without Google integration. I hadn’t thought of it like that before.

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patrickrhone
patrickrhone

@manton Proudly not “we all”.

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manton
manton

@kev I’m also skeptical that Chrome would be popular if someone else owned it. But I don’t personally use it, and I feel a little disconnected from the whole Google suite.

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manton
manton

@patrickrhone I should’ve said “many of us”… 🙂

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rscottjones
rscottjones

@patrickrhone love this!

(Also, I can’t tell you how many young people I know that will willingly pay $30 for a taco bell burrito or some other bullshit just so they don’t have to get it themselves, even if they are driving right by one. Wish I could convince them to at min save that delivery fee)

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In reply to
patrickrhone
patrickrhone

@manton It’s OK.

This is one of those things I just don’t “get”.

I like to grocery shop. I can’t imagine someone doing it for me. I want to pick up the item and read the label/ingredients. I like to touch what I’m getting.

I like to go into a restaurant and having real service.

I like picking up take out.

I like interacting with humans.

I hate paying delivery fees and then being expected to tip for some random guy to double park and hand off my lukewarm order and “dash” away as quickly as possible.

On the rare occasions I go to a restaurant that even has a drive through I’m parked, ordered, and food in hand inside the restaurant faster than I would have been in my car.

I have not even had a pizza delivered in at least 30 years.

Honestly, the whole concept of it all is baffling to me.

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colincornaby@mastodon.social
colincornaby@mastodon.social

@manton I think OpenAI and Anthropic are in real trouble actually. They don't really have the cash to do this. The LLM companies that have the cash to make it out? Google. Meta. Maybe xAI.

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kaa
kaa

@patrickrhone you are absolutely on an island with this :)

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manton
manton

@patrickrhone I’m with you on a lot of that. I like going to a restaurant. I love shopping for books in person. But for whatever reason, I do not enjoy grocery stores.

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adders
adders

@manton Bubbles bursting is often a good thing. Certainly, the dotcom bust birthed both sustainable e-commerce and the Web 2.0 era.

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manton
manton

@rscottjones @patrickrhone Yes, food delivery via DoorDash or Uber Eats is definitely out of control.

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dgreene196
dgreene196

@patrickrhone Understandable. Sometimes, the service is hilariously bad. I was home solo the weekend before Thanksgiving several years ago, and I had a free grocery delivery for some reason, so I ordered a few things, including a 12-14 lb frozen turkey so it could start to thaw for Thanksgiving. What I received, was a 1 lb package of sliced deli turkey. 🤔. One of many errors with the order and the last time I used such a service.

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colincornaby@mastodon.social
colincornaby@mastodon.social

@jasonekratz No. But that's why they're the ones that can stay in. I think it's going to be very hard to be an LLM "business" when the margins are so bad and the open weight models are free and right behind the commercial ones in performance.

So basically what survives are the ones where the development is being propped up by some other part of the business. Or an eccentric billionaire.

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manton
manton

@colincornaby I don’t know much about Anthropic’s business, but ChatGPT has so many users, I think they are in a good position. They have a surprising amount of revenue already considering how much they give away.

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colincornaby@mastodon.social
colincornaby@mastodon.social

@manton Right, but revenue doesn't mean anything when they're racking up negative profits.

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manton
manton

@jasonekratz That sounds right. There’s less to differentiate Perplexity. If their browser doesn’t resonate with people (Dia has more mindshare) then they’ll need something new.

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patrickrhone
patrickrhone

@kaa I’m happy here. Plenty of coconuts to talk to.

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kaa
kaa

@patrickrhone :)

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kev
kev

@manton same. I’ve used Firefox for as long as I can remember. They’ve made some questionable choices over the years, but it’s muscle memory at this point. Anything else just feels alien.

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de
de

@patrickrhone I feel the same way but think I am now in the minority.

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patrickrhone
patrickrhone

@de Well, we now have a minority of at least two.

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