manton
manton

Still votes to count in the Michigan primary, but seems like the protest vote against Biden will settle out around 15%. Which sounds significant except that the protest vote against Trump is 30%. 🇺🇸

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Denny
Denny

@manton "The group pushing for voters to choose “uncommitted” – called Listen to Michigan – set the goal of 10,000 uncommitted votes in the primary, roughly the same margin that Biden won Michigan by in 2020. "

Currently they've got 33,000 votes with 25% votes counted.

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jmanes
jmanes

@Denny Sounds like they are making their point and with strong numbers.

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Denny
Denny

@jmanes Agreed.

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pratik
pratik

@Denny @manton

roughly the same margin that Biden won Michigan in 2020.

Biden won Michigan by 150,000 votes in 2020. It was Trump who won Michigan by 10,000 votes. But still, 33K is not bad. 10K was a stupidly low number.

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Denny
Denny

@pratik Yeah, that was a quote from the Guardian. NPR reports: "The campaign's goal was to get more than 10,000 votes, approximately the margin that former President Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by in 2016"

I would point out that 33,000 votes is with 25% counted. Might be closer to 120,000 when the voting is completed.

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In reply to
pratik
pratik

@Denny

Might be closer to 120,000 when the voting is completed.

Err...that may be possible, but you can't just multiply percent counted with the current vote total. It depends on what areas are done counting. But as I said in my post earlier today, if it gets closer to 100K, then yes, it was a good protest vote.

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jmanes
jmanes

@pratik Good commentary. Paints a fuller picture than what I was imagining. I have not kept up with the Michigan primary drama until just a few hours ago.

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Denny
Denny

@pratik Yep. Only 4% counted in Wayne County, they've got 2,000 votes, 24%. That's where Dearborn is and I think will be a higher percentage. I guess we'll see what happens.

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starrwulfe
starrwulfe

@Denny 😬

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