I’ll never understand the impatience of people when it comes to politics. One side isn’t working out, let’s swing waaaaaay over to the other side. Looking at you, France. It never seems like a subtle swing. It’s almost always extreme.
@skoobz big caveat that European patterns might be different than the US, but typically the reason swings look huge even if turnout looks similar is that there is a shift of voters leaving and entering. So lots of folks who supported the right/left et burned out, don’t vote, just as previously disaffected left/right voters get exited and start voting again. If only a few percentages of each move in any fiven election, the observed effect appears massive.
@lukemperez This makes sense. I know here in the States, a bigger turnout typically means a push to the left. There’s a sense that could happen this year, if even on the local level.