Gabz
Gabz
Dmytro Kuleba: Russian army is firing from all sides upon Zaporizhzhia NPP, the largest nuclear power plant in Europe. Fire has already broke out. If it blows up, it will be 10 times larger than Chornobyl! Russians must IMMEDIATELY cease the fire, allow firefighters, establish a securi... gabz.me
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In reply to
Gabz
Gabz

@pimoore it is extremely fucked up

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lukemperez
lukemperez

@Gaby @pimoore The fire is now under control. But that was suboptimal.

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lukemperez
lukemperez

@pimoore @Gaby hope is not a strategy unfortunately. Until western powers retake control of the escalation ladder, we should expect this to get worse before it has any hope of getting better.

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lukemperez
lukemperez

@pimoore @Gaby he isn’t a madman, which makes what he does worse morally, but it means it’s possible to shape his incentives. The notion of freeing carefully unfortunately concedes to him all the initiative. The west need not be reckless. But it must be serious about deterring Putin. So far, we haven’t.

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lukemperez
lukemperez

@pimoore @Gaby lend-lease heavy artillery, the new International Legion, and (maybe) covert operations. A NFZ slows down the Russian offensive, making this an old school infantry vs infantry war. That might buy the time Ukraine needs until the sanctions really start kicking in.

The problem is no one in leadership seems to have any interest in strategic thought. But the lessons and templates are readily available.

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