@steven There's a pattern (for \"no that isn't statistically significantly many and we do not want it to be\" cases) of mild symptoms, testing negative, and then some days later testing positive. Happened with one of the Dutch passengers.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116588043915836335","date_published":"2026-05-17T04:32:49+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-17 04:32","date_timestamp":1778992369,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"90330149","content_html":"@steven There's a paper about the 2018/2019 Argentine outbreak published in 2020 in the New England Journal of Medicine.
That paper uses genetic analysis of the virus to establish the sequence of infection and thus the Rₑ numbers and it was 0.96 after the Argentine health authorities enforced a strict quarantine.
In the former world, before everybody's immune systems wound up raddled by SARS.
We don't have anything BUT quarantine for hantaviruses. Greater caution seems warranted.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116587656976169402","date_published":"2026-05-17T02:54:25+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-17 02:54","date_timestamp":1778986465,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"90315387","content_html":"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5spLqJ01P4U
There's been a positive test for Andean strain hantavirus in Canada.
(A three week isolation period for exposure when incubation is known to run up to eight. Honest to *Tîwaz there are people making decisions about public health in Canada who would much rather attend funerals than feel worried.)
No, it's not SARS-CoV-2, the most contagious disease in human history. All spread takes is Rₑ > 1 by any means, and it was 0.96 under enforced quarantine in 2018/2019.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116586213235708700","date_published":"2026-05-16T20:47:15+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-16 20:47","date_timestamp":1778964435,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":false,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"90267747","content_html":"@michael_hoerger Plus the undercount; hospitals no longer test for COVID. (To a first approximation, nobody tests for COVID.) \"Pneumonia\" on a lot of charts (and death certificates) is obscuring actual rates.
It's been illuminating to watch the error bars for the Moriarty group's risk numbers; they're working backwards from excess death rates, and early in the plague were good to a percentage or so. Now it's at least five percent. This is nigh-all due to deliberate obfuscation.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116581599759878324","date_published":"2026-05-16T01:13:59+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-16 01:13","date_timestamp":1778894039,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"90249299","content_html":"@trendless This bill will not go away; it's been previously defeated several times.
I would like to know who is pushing for it so hard.
(It seems likely that the RCMP, long captured by petrodollars, have de-facto-branch-of-government legislative input and this is a logical extension of having control of firearms regulation. It's also primarily intended as a means to crush any amount of climate protest.)
(This is not a situation I think should apply.)
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116580081298179158","date_published":"2026-05-15T18:47:49+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-15 18:47","date_timestamp":1778870869,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"90199419","content_html":"@tryangregory.bsky.social \"less contagious than covid-19\" describes every other virus.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116576173156474389","date_published":"2026-05-15T02:13:55+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-15 02:13","date_timestamp":1778811235,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"90162374","content_html":"@lina Y2K made it necessary to pay programmers more than management. Generally a lot more than management. Old programmers, often. Women programmers, a fair bit. People cutting the cheques got traumatized.
Some of those people have COO and CFO titles now. They still believe axiomatically that money exists to confirm the social hierarchy, not to create efficiency through accurate prices.
AI is a way to enforce the social hierarchy by appeal to the oracle. And to never pay programmers again.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116573560656223620","date_published":"2026-05-14T15:09:32+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-14 15:09","date_timestamp":1778771372,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"90103687","content_html":"@swetland They got the right shade of amber with that display.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116568735976639526","date_published":"2026-05-13T18:42:33+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-13 18:42","date_timestamp":1778697753,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"90055766","content_html":"@Kathmandu I would like to believe that.
The 2018/2019 outbreak had an R₀ greater than two; that's approximately flu. That outbreak was stopped by deliberate human action; there's no indication it would have naturally faded out due to not being sufficiently infectious in humans.
Presuming the same-clade variant on the cruise ship isn't any worse at spreading than that, it's not too far of the wild type of SARS-CoV-2. And we don't know where in the long incubation time infectiousness starts.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116564922763274849","date_published":"2026-05-13T02:32:48+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-13 02:32","date_timestamp":1778639568,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"90042452","content_html":"The outbreak being discussed happened in the former world of 2018 and 2019.
Does a population that's got endemic SARS-CoV-2 exhibit greater susceptibility and R numbers and a higher case fatality rate? It'd be the absolute pinnacle of irresponsibility to do the experiment, wouldn't it?
I find myself hoping public health does not so much overreact as freak out.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116563783626320161","date_published":"2026-05-12T21:43:06+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-12 21:43","date_timestamp":1778622186,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"90042201","content_html":"https://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJMoa2009040 has
> The median reproductive number (the number of secondary cases caused by an infected person during the infectious period) was 2.12 before the control measures were enforced and decreased to 0.96 after the measures were implemented.
Control measures?
> public health officials enforced isolation of persons with confirmed cases and self-quarantine of possible contacts
Presumably eight weeks of enforced quarantine, because that's the incubation period.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116563768610892125","date_published":"2026-05-12T21:39:17+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-12 21:39","date_timestamp":1778621957,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"90026049","content_html":"@LordCaramac You're making an analogy to plague.
Climate change is global; loss of the conditions which allow agriculture is similarly global. Past disasters generally weren't. \"Year without a summer\" volcanic eruptions are a better analogy than plague, but those lack comparable scale.
On geological scales, ten thousand years is quick; two hundred is a blink. The Carbon Binge is novel, abrupt, and inescapable. Also in human terms a millennium is a long time.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116562905077014492","date_published":"2026-05-12T17:59:41+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-12 17:59","date_timestamp":1778608781,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89978475","content_html":"@LordCaramac My sibling in the void, you are making a big serious claim here which you have not supported.
Everything sits on food; people eat every day.
Food sits on agriculture; agricultural collapse is ongoing and significantly driven by temperature excursions. Any \"compare to 1850 to 1900\" temperature graph is going to make it clear that as the temperature increases, the slope of the graph also increases.
\"You will die before it gets bad\" is not the thing to expect.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116562030555629069","date_published":"2026-05-12T14:17:16+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-12 14:17","date_timestamp":1778595436,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89955237","content_html":"@cwicseolfor Thank you for the breakdown!
I worry that the combination of lowering concentration out of \"should not catch fire due to static electricity\" (something the medical-grade sanitizers are known to do, which is probably contributing to what looks like an emphasis on alcohol-free products) and all the various skin care additives in the commercial stuff might reduce effectiveness.
Having found a firm that is making the WHO recipe I will tell myself to stop fussing.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116559891966962916","date_published":"2026-05-12T05:13:24+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-12 05:13","date_timestamp":1778562804,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89955103","content_html":"Turns out someone does sell WHO formulation hand rub retail in Canada!
https://topshelfdistillers.com/products/946ml-sanitizing-handwash
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116559871230733675","date_published":"2026-05-12T05:08:08+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-12 05:08","date_timestamp":1778562488,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89953737","content_html":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0195670125002701 talks about testing disinfectants on ANDV (and a bunch of other viruses). When it describes the disinfectants, it talks about them as \"commercially available\", but a bit of searching suggests this is a \"55 gallon drum\" value of \"commercial\". (Possibly \"a pallet of 55 gallon drums\".)
Does anybody sell \"WHO formulation II hand rub\" retail in Canada? is there a standard hand wash or hand rub that ought to be effective and is available? (Again, in Canada.)
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116559596179885307","date_published":"2026-05-12T03:58:11+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-12 03:58","date_timestamp":1778558291,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"89950674","content_html":"@jvipondmd.bsky.social I am not looking forward to having options for the pathogen in \"Respiratory Outbreak (Unspecified Pathogen)\".
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116558959387175320","date_published":"2026-05-12T01:16:14+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-12 01:16","date_timestamp":1778548574,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89923783","content_html":"If the global public health system wanted me to believe that they're interested in preventing risk due to hantavirus they wouldn't be shipping everyone from the initial outbreak home and thus spreading the potentially infected over the entire planet.
They would also not be trying to argue that it's not significantly contagious; the last Argentinian outbreak had an R₀ a bit over 2. More than one is all you need for exponential growth. (Flu is usually about one and a half.)
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116556255661212765","date_published":"2026-05-11T13:48:39+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-11 13:48","date_timestamp":1778507319,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":false,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"89906345","content_html":"@mark-ungrin.bsky.social I could be using the tool wrong, but so far as I can tell, the tool considers both hantaviruses and covid-19 to require a level of protection of 2 on their scale and nothing unpowered qualifies.
Getting one's dentist to wear an N95 is not enough.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116553598593422618","date_published":"2026-05-11T02:32:55+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-11 02:32","date_timestamp":1778466775,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89901682","content_html":"@winter I am reminded of the survey studies that expected to show the whole \"not going to school\" element of the brief infection minimization period of covid was very, very bad for children, and which showed the exact opposite.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116552747440595128","date_published":"2026-05-10T22:56:27+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-10 22:56","date_timestamp":1778453787,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89899365","content_html":"@johannab Yes.
Ten thousand times, yes.
Once one figures out that \"externality\" is more or less \"when persons of our character and eminence do it, we do not say _steal_\", so much of modern finance and the construction of profit obviously hinges on lying about prices. And it certainly is \"steal\".
Don't let them. Accurate prices for every single thing.
(Argue for it on grounds of increased market efficiency.)
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116552355811560510","date_published":"2026-05-10T21:16:52+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-10 21:16","date_timestamp":1778447812,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89883384","content_html":"@pinhman Having nuclear weapons has historically been one of the few things that reliably deters American invasion. (It's not like we could propose to rely on a sensible construction of economic self-interest.)
If Carney thinks part of his job is keeping Canada from being annexed by the US, he more or less has to be thinking about an independent deterrent.
Given that, advocating for a nuclear weapons ban would be wildly hypocritical.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116550383080675415","date_published":"2026-05-10T12:55:10+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-10 12:55","date_timestamp":1778417710,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89866500","content_html":"@swetland I had no idea either of those things existed.
I can see how this name selection thing is a difficult problem!
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116547197655529247","date_published":"2026-05-09T23:25:04+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-09 23:25","date_timestamp":1778369104,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89866350","content_html":"@swetland \"something that works, and then something that works at every step\" is an approach I think is the only way to get something that works, so I think you're being completely sensible.
I've been a little surprised at targeting 32 bit but presumably there's a lot more 32 bit application space than I would have thought.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116547178998950430","date_published":"2026-05-09T23:20:20+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-09 23:20","date_timestamp":1778368820,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89866283","content_html":"@swetland > Which I haven't entirely ruled out, but I also would like a name that's not impossible to search for and doesn't collide with the common extension for object files.
I think that's entirely wise of you!
Zircon? They're generally small and are notably stable over geologic time. (Not necessarily great as a search term, but probably better than any single glyph.)
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116547166470376189","date_published":"2026-05-09T23:17:09+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-09 23:17","date_timestamp":1778368629,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89865297","content_html":"@swetland Have you got a name for this language?
(I am going to be exceedingly amused if people are implementing Real Things in it in five year's time, and setting out to write something enjoyable isn't reducing the risk of this happening.)
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116547026949134177","date_published":"2026-05-09T22:41:40+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-09 22:41","date_timestamp":1778366500,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89862586","content_html":"@N01100010 For high status people, their feelings are more important than facts. (At least in as much as anyone interacting with them will say.)
Many people react to an expectation that they regard facts as an attempt to reduce their status. As in any other band-forming primate, anything that would lower status registers as an hostile act.
I don't know what to do about this either.
(Structurally? Status is a thing no one has. Facts before feelings. Implementation would not be trivial.)
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116546606734467299","date_published":"2026-05-09T20:54:48+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-09 20:54","date_timestamp":1778360088,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89861061","content_html":"@arclight camera + taking specific \"it was like this\" still shots seems to be prevalent among those as do know what they are about.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116546415302717601","date_published":"2026-05-09T20:06:07+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-09 20:06","date_timestamp":1778357167,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89835210","content_html":"@Technomagik In the specific case of quarantines, the legitimacy of the civil power rests on the exercise of the civil power. One of the big problems with legitimacy is a refusal to use the civil power impartially—\"without fear or favour\"—or indeed at all, such as when the powerful ignore general restrictions without penalty or certain well-connected businesses get exceptions to anything which might reduce their profits.
Nobody wants to die of plague.
","url":"https://canada.masto.host/users/graydon/statuses/116542805322189955","date_published":"2026-05-09T04:48:03+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-09 04:48","date_timestamp":1778302083,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":true}},{"id":"89681251","content_html":"The social problem with anti-depressants (and anything else that alters mood, really) is that it falsifies the mind-body duality that's axiomatically necessary for a bunch of religious positions.
Anything that posits personality survival after death, more or less, but not only those things; there are a whole lot of constructions of virtue that went \"this is harder to do during privation so that version is better\", too, which is not something that withstands much analysis.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116525033991769921","date_published":"2026-05-06T01:28:34+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-06 01:28","date_timestamp":1778030914,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"89478593","content_html":"Today is a ranty day.
Teaching is not difficult. Teaching is solved problem. Has been for generations.
The problem is that teaching is both expensive (inherently and inescapably; you need people, they need to be comfortably inside their peak sustainable workload as a matter of average workload, and they need to be considered socially valuable) and socially unacceptable (because education dissolves class boundaries). Effective education is opposed by all the money and most of the middle class.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116507595011683865","date_published":"2026-05-02T23:33:36+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-02 23:33","date_timestamp":1777764816,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"89456499","content_html":"A French king invents fashion to redirect elite competition away from warfare and into personal display. (It helped with political stability less than you'd expect.)
Industrialization moves the pattern down the class hierarchy; fashion has seasons and you prove your affluence by observing them. Now that so many people are involved, it's obviously and extensively destructive.
(Note that style and fashion are different things.)
AI is fashion.
AI is fashion in the old elite competition sense.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116505749817010593","date_published":"2026-05-02T15:44:21+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-02 15:44","date_timestamp":1777736661,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"89447451","content_html":"There's been a couple threads go by about \"what if the techbro billionaire plan is to kill millions?\"
My sibling in the void, what is happening today bends all human activity toward making Earth uninhabitable. This will kill billions. The survivors, should survivors there be, will be beholden to some single-source technology those billionaires plan to control.
Destroying public health during a plague is also happening right now. (Public health is inconsistent with patriarchy. It's got to go.)
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116504963065598631","date_published":"2026-05-02T12:24:16+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-05-02 12:24","date_timestamp":1777724656,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"89312353","content_html":"There's an observation that you can track how well a North Atlantic economy did with the Great Depression by looking at when it went off the gold standard; the earlier, the better.
One way to interpret that is \"the preindustrial economy, small enough to measure with available gold, is gone and the institutions of money and economic norms must acknowledge this and alter\".
Today, the obvious parallel is fossil carbon.
The difficult difference is that fossil carbon is directly useful.
\"He's not well.\"
My sibling in the void, a lot of people aren't well.
Yes, we're living through the end of a lot of things (agriculture, the Binge, the post-war order…) but there's little discussion of the psychological parts.
Remember how the US went collectively insane after 9/11? Because their view of their place in the world had been falsified?
Losing the USD-as-reserve-currency, the persistence of the Islamic Republic, and \"oops, false god!\" are all individually things like that.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116431452382822458","date_published":"2026-04-19T12:49:32+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-04-19 12:49","date_timestamp":1776602972,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":false,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"88535516","content_html":"So power more or less had to notice the rise of the modern science of biology; it was, with geology, producing results contrary to religious doctrine at a time when political parties were no longer secular expressions of ecclesiastical factions but the memory of those days was a live thing.
It latched on to \"survival of the fittest\", concluded that, like many other definitions, it could say what \"fittest\" meant, and stopped worrying. There was no reason to suppose anything would alter.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116427501247682899","date_published":"2026-04-18T20:04:42+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-04-18 20:04","date_timestamp":1776542682,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"88534987","content_html":"For mumble length of time, I have been trying to get the Independent Mulch to explain something in the text for the next book I'm trying to write. This has been more difficult than that character usually is, and today (one day after having my meds adjusted) the metaphorical lightbulb went off and I figured out the underlying thing Mulch is trying to say.
Firstly, post-COVID cognitive constraint sucks flint and secondly, anyone who believes in mind-body duality has never had their meds adjusted.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116427456315355023","date_published":"2026-04-18T19:53:17+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-04-18 19:53","date_timestamp":1776541997,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"88479093","content_html":"\"digital sovereignty\", no, no, you're being weirdly abstract.
Power, today, consists on being able to exert control and take large profits by charging people to live through control of fossil carbon. (Society exists to make you buy gas. It's good at it. The people selling gas make a killing.)
\"Age verification\" is recognition that they have to stop selling you carbon, so they're going to pivot to controlling if you can have an economic existence.
They're going to rent you being able to live.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116422169804599394","date_published":"2026-04-17T21:28:51+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-04-17 21:28","date_timestamp":1776461331,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"88437478","content_html":"Are the kids all right?
Of course not; they're entirely aware that COVID does them harm, that the policy decision was that \"the economy\" (maintaining a high rate of profit…) was more important than not doing unknown damage to all of them, that public policy is to fight wars to guarantee fossil carbon extraction increases (which means the world they'll have to live in is being made uninhabitable), and that they'll never have any say in anything.
Infantilizing youth goes with plans to hurt them.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116419606001487209","date_published":"2026-04-17T10:36:50+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-04-17 10:36","date_timestamp":1776422210,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"88405837","content_html":"I keep using the word \"enclosure\".
\"Enclosure\" mostly refers to land enclosures; a process to remove small-holders to allow \"more profitable\" (to the large landowner; the small-holders go from being OK to somewhere between dead and destitute) use of the land. (The profit is meant to excuse the practice.)
What this means more generally is that enclosure is the act of creating capital property; society enforces a sole claim of ownership, which in turn creates charging rent to use the thing.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116416963243053635","date_published":"2026-04-16T23:24:45+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-04-16 23:24","date_timestamp":1776381885,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"88234835","content_html":"I keep seeing \"resistance\" and it gives me the flinch.
Resistance is something you do to buy time to create the conditions for decisive action.
Resistance is an emergency, not a solution.
Solutions look like structural change in how things get copied into the future and how benefit derives from conduct. (\"structural\" = this is built into the system; no one has to make any special effort for this to happen.)
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116403543415713344","date_published":"2026-04-14T14:31:55+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-04-14 14:31","date_timestamp":1776177115,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"87071342","content_html":"The reason to teach kids cursive is the same as it's always been; we have way, way more brain wiring for sign language than we do for speech.
Teaching how to write before teaching how to read is the traditional order because writing is, more or less, sign language. You want and need something tactile so your brain can exapt hominoid sign language wiring into literacy.
Nothing to do with note-taking efficiency or adult effectiveness; everything to do with getting letters to stick in your brain.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116301127756051489","date_published":"2026-03-27T12:26:16+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-03-27 12:26","date_timestamp":1774614376,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"87047234","content_html":"I've been seeing various people lamenting that the allergy season thereabouts of where they are is particularly bad this year, and expressing a willingness to do nigh-anything to make it stop.
Wearing a respirator will generally keep the pollen out of your nose.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116298648087051983","date_published":"2026-03-27T01:55:39+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-03-27 01:55","date_timestamp":1774576539,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"86944038","content_html":"https://quoteinvestigator.com/2014/02/28/clever-lazy/ is quite sure the division of officers into four categories using a lazy-industrious axis and an intelligent-idiot axis is not attributable to Helmuth von Moltke the Elder. (Alas.)
Ironically, the first actual traceable source is a US Navy publication.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116290956000796217","date_published":"2026-03-25T17:19:27+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-03-25 17:19","date_timestamp":1774459167,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":false,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"86755566","content_html":"There's this tension between preference and necessity; anyone who has been poor is really aware of when you have to do what you must, not what you'd rather.
Thing is, as a culture, as a species, as a historical period, and certainly as individuals, we're moving into a time of sharply constraining necessity. (Before there isn't going to be enough anything else, there isn't going to be enough food.)
Could be time to make the mental effort to recognize this and to reconcile with it.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116275823205955147","date_published":"2026-03-23T01:10:59+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-03-23 01:10","date_timestamp":1774228259,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":false,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"86579934","content_html":"It's a paraphrase, because I don't remember who I'd be quoting if I were quoting, but the assertion goes something like \"For a battle like Crecy, you don't need a military genius like Edward III. You need an idiot like the Duc d'Alençon.\"
Been thinking about that one rather a lot lately.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116259523425327132","date_published":"2026-03-20T04:05:44+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-03-20 04:05","date_timestamp":1773979544,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"86054424","content_html":"My siblings in the void; the problem is not the illegal war, the remarkable common desperation of the East Asian economies, nor the upsurge in coal consumption. (Why manipulate oil prices when you can create coal demand?) Those are things that will do far more (needless) harm than good, but they're things with (at least notionally) solutions.
The problem is that the only options available to the administration responsible summarize as \"escalate\" or \"admit error\".
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116216914207959672","date_published":"2026-03-12T15:29:39+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-03-12 15:29","date_timestamp":1773329379,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"85745878","content_html":"It's not \"the internet replaces reality\"; it's \"what are you allowed to do?\"
The kids are not allowed to do much and whatever they are permitted happens in a context of continuous scrutiny. (Which is not generally benign scrutiny; it's not like they don't know that.)
If you want something else, reward something else.
(Yes that does mean making it impossible to make money providing scrutiny as a service. Anything that makes money happens; anything with a high rate of return happens more.)
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116191616179206406","date_published":"2026-03-08T04:16:02+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-03-08 04:16","date_timestamp":1772943362,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":false,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"85305457","content_html":"Oil from Iran—NOT the same as \"oil shipped through the Strait of Hormuz—goes to China.
Elite takeaway from SARS-CoV-2 and why they're still freaked about \"lockdowns\"; the lines-goes-up machine nearly fell over. (The machine needs shipping prices below a threshold, along with other stuff.) That's created call it an elite stability contest to try to get the other bloc to collapse first.
(This makes nothing in the vicinity to sense; it's one world, economically. Elites are not inherently smart.)
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116156711616467374","date_published":"2026-03-02T00:19:20+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-03-02 00:19","date_timestamp":1772410760,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}},{"id":"85229801","content_html":"It's resolving a schism.
(It's resolving about six schisms.)
In the first decade of the 20th century, the major naval powers committed to oil fired engines in warships. Strait control and maritime supremacy create the United States as the Oil Empire. Air power confirms and extends this.
It becomes a matter of religious conviction that oil is money, that money is the material love of god, and what you can take, god wants you to have. Loot is proof of virtue.
","summary":"","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon/116149755195767650","date_published":"2026-02-28T18:50:14+00:00","author":{"name":"Graydon","url":"https://canada.masto.host/@graydon","avatar":"https://cdn.micro.blog/photos/96/https%3A%2F%2Ffiles.mastodon.social%2Fcache%2Faccounts%2Favatars%2F109%2F387%2F673%2F202%2F796%2F978%2Foriginal%2F07c5b2d61d4a5156.png","_microblog":{"username":"graydon@canada.masto.host"}},"_microblog":{"date_relative":"2026-02-28 18:50","date_timestamp":1772304614,"is_favorite":false,"is_bookmark":false,"is_deletable":false,"is_conversation":true,"is_linkpost":false,"is_mention":false,"note":"","syndication":[]}}]}